Analyst revises Costco stock price prediction before results

Analyst revises Costco stock price prediction before results

The stock of Costco Wholesale had a little decline in early trading on Tuesday, after the announcement of a prominent Wall Street analyst who reduced his rating on the bulk discount retailer in advance of its earnings report for the fiscal fourth quarter, which was scheduled to be released later in the week.

A focus on aggressive pricing in a restricted number of items, as well as improved efficiency in its higher-margin online division, has frequently added to bottom-line gains for Costco (COST), which is one of the top-performing stocks in the retail sector this year. Over the past year, the company’s market value has increased by approximately 140 billion dollars.

Additionally, during the summer, the organization announced that it had increased its membership fees for the first time in over seven years. The new finance head, Gary Millerchip, was responsible for this decision, which resulted in the price of its executive card being raised to $125 per year.

During the time that the increase was implemented, Michael Baker, an analyst at D.A. Davidson, stated that the move would most likely result in an increase of approximately $377 million in total sales over the following two years and would yield an increase of approximately $189 million in yearly profits.

According to Scot Ciccarelli, an analyst at Truist Securities, the stock’s impressive gains have given it “little room for error” with respect to its near-term performance. However, other changes that the group made over the summer, such as the scanning of membership cards at store entry points, may have canceled out the sales gains that occurred during the three months that ended in August.

“The business remain strong and is gaining share over nearly all trade classes, with arguably among the greatest barriers to entry in retail,” he said to reporters. “However, new developments like scanning IDs before entry and packaging alterations to their chickens might result in some sales headwinds.”

Before the earnings report of the company, which is scheduled to be released after the close of trade on Thursday, Ciccarelli cut his rating on Costco stock from buy to hold. However, he did not change his price objective for the stock, to $873.

“Key catalysts have since been in the rear-view mirror, and the asset’s current valuation allows little room for error,” according to Ciccarelli.

“Costco is up around 60% in the last twelve weeks (multiple up by roughly 20 turns) to the S&P’s 30%, and it’s currently quoted at about 54 times prospective [earnings per share], a multidecade high,” he said to investors. “Therefore, we grade Costco and will look for an even more attractive reentry point.”

According to Wall Street, Costco is anticipated to report a profit of $5.08 per share, which represents a 4.5% rise from the same time the previous year. Additionally, the company’s sales is anticipated to climb by 1% to reach $78.21 billion.

An opening-bell price of $912.50 was indicated for Costco shares, which was marked down by 0.5% during premarket trading. This move would still result in the stock having a gain of almost 25% over the course of the previous six months.

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